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Jun 30

Understand the forex market.Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD pronounced Mac Dee) is one of the most reliable and simple tool in your trading arsenal as a currency trader. MACD is a trend following momentum oscillator or indicator.

MACD is a lagging indicators and it shows the relationship between two moving averages of recent prices. Most technical indicators are lagging. This means they are slow and they just tell you what just happened after the fact. Learn forex news trading.

Technical analysis is based on the belief that all available information is immediately impounded into the prices and the past prices can be used to predict the future prices in the currency markets. Learning technical analysis is must for you if you want to succeed as a currency trader.Discover trend forex system.

There are many chart types used in the technical analysis. Technical analysis helps you to read your charts and analyze them with a number of technical indicators. Using technical indicators is the key to understanding the market behavior.

MACD is calculated by subtracting a slow exponential moving average (EMA) like 55 from a fast exponential moving average like 21. Signal line is calculated by the taking the EMA of MACD for a number of bars like 8. The Histogram is the difference between the MACD and its signal line. 55 and 21 are the number of periods that you use.

MACD is one of the most popular technical indicators in currency trading and is used often. However, beware that MACD is often misunderstood and misused resulting in wrong signals. Like any other technical indicator you should use it in conjunction with other technical indicators for confirmation.

Crossovers: When MACD falls below the signal line from above, it is a bearish signal. It indicates the time to sell. Conversely, when MACD rises above the signal line from below, it is a bullish signal. It indicates that you should buy.

Divergence: When the price diverges from MACD, it indicates the end of the current trend. Negative Divergence is when the price action is rising and MACD is falling. Both the price action line and the MACD line are diverging. It is an indication of the change in the currency trend. That’s right! The lagging indicator that is supposed to follow the price is predicting future behavior of the prices in the market.

Dramatic Expansion: Dramatic expansion occurs when the shorter moving exponential average pulls away from the longer moving exponential average. Suppose MACD expands dramatically. It is an indication that the currency is overbought/ oversold and may return to normal soon.

You should make one thing very clear when you use a MACD. All the above three cases are important. They should not be overlooked by you as a currency trader. However, none of them alone are signals for entering or exiting a trade. MACD Divergence is tradable when confirmed by other indicators. If you simply start trading on MACD Divergence, it may not yield a profitable trade.

However, when confirmed by other technical indicators, success is more likely. This is because of the fact that several things are happening at the same time. Each is attracting the same bulls and bears into the trade that you are planning to make. So you have to confirm your finding with other technical indicators.

When you use MACD, crossovers and dramatic rises are easy to spot. However, spotting MACD divergence comes after a little practice.

Jun 29

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AutoTrade uses the same 100% accurate signals. With AutoTrade you will no longer make mistakes or miss trades ever again. You will still receive signals to trade manually even if you upgrade to AutoTrade if you wish. AutoTrade, at the time of this writing requires you to have a regular Mini FXCM account. Upgrading to Diamond Edition is also required. This is definately the easiest, most foolproof way to take advantage of the Forex Ambush.

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Forex Ambush 2.0 offers a solid service that will help your trading win loss ratio. My recommendation is to follow their trades precisely and not make up your own rules.

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TWhy the Forex market?he Forex market moves billions of dollars back and forth every day. You just need the expertise to know how to get into the middle of all this. Most people have dreamed of becoming part of the Forex market but the truth is that almost no one knows what they are doing.

Yeah, you can jump in and try to learn on your own. But we’ll guarantee that you’ll lose money. Just giving your money away like that and not making anything doesn’t seem very productive. The way to make money in the Forex market is by predicting a price movement of a currency pair and investing right before and exiting right after. This usually happens a few times in a day. Real day traders and professional traders do just that, hence the name “day” traders. Huge companies like Citi Group and JP Morgan Chase do this every single day and employ thousands of professionals that do it for them.

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Jun 28

Understand forex market.Suppose you have the data and calculated the currency correlations of the major pairs. The correlation between GBP/USD and EUR/USD is 0.68. This correlation coefficient means both the pairs move in the same direction 68% of the time.

Get good forex training.USD/CHF and EUR/USD have a correlation coefficient of -0.975 and is pretty close to (-1). It means both USD/CHF and EUR/USD pairs move in the opposite direction almost 97.5% of the time. It means if USD/CHF moves up, the pair EUR/USD will move down!

Learn forex news trading. You have this information about the recent correlation coefficients. It tells you how much these pairs move in the same direction or opposite direction. Suppose you trade both the currency pairs USD/CHF and EUR/USD by going long. What you will be doing by going long on both the positively correlated pairs is in fact canceling both the long positions.

If you make pips on USD/CHF pair, you will lose pips on EUR/USD pair and the two trades would effectively cancel each other. A savvy currency trader would go long on USD/CHF currency pair. At the same time he/she will go short on EUR/USD currency pair. So he/she will be shorting USD in both the trades. It is a way of diversifying the USD bearish investment.

Currency correlations can help you in making entry and exit decisions for each trade. Let’s suppose GBP/USD starts showing volatility. The pair approaches a resistance level. You plan on going long if there is a breakout.

However, you notice on the charts that the other three major currency pairs are not showing volatility and moving as much as the GBP/USD. EUR/USD is not showing volatility and moving up on the chart. USD/CHF is not showing much volatility and moving down on the chart. USD/JPY is also not showing much volatility and not moving down on the chart. This means that the volatility in GBP/USD is solely GBP driven. The move is maybe related to some news in the British economy about Bank of England raising or lowering interest rates or some big companies merging.

Now you know that the move in GBP/USD pair is Pound driven. It is not US Dollar driven. You can take advantage of this information. Ignore the GBP driven move and don’t enter into any trade. Wait for a later opportunity that involves simultaneous correlated moves of all the major pairs.

Let’s take another example. Suppose you have taken a short position on EUR/USD pair. You want to be sure whether the pair will proceed down towards your profit target. You also want to know can it go against you and cause you to exit the trade with a small loss.

Your EUR/USD is heading towards M1 level after having broken the S1 support pivot level. You should take a look at the pair EUR/GBP. You find that it has paused at its S1 support pivot level. It is showing signs of reversing to the upside.

Knowledge of currency correlations can tell you if EUR/GBP breaks through the S1 level, you are poised for a profitable trade in this type of a situation, However, you should watch the indicators and exit before taking a big loss if it reverses and heads back to the upside. You might consider trading a basket of all the major currencies as you mature in forex trading.

Jun 27

Understand the forex market. You are a currency trader. Which currency pairs are the best for trading? Focus on the four major currency pairs EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF and USD/JPY. Consider becoming a specialist in USD. Yes, it’s true! You should become a specialist in trading the greenback.Don’t trade without good forex training.

Learn forex news trading.Each currency pair actually is a combination of two currencies. So if you are short in GBP/USD then you are in fact selling the GBP and buying the USD. In each of the four major currency pairs, USD is part of each currency pair.

This means that you should study and understand the fundamentals of US Dollar, the US economy and the workings of the Federal Reserve System (FED). Then you have done your homework needed to trade any one of the four major currency pairs as all of them depend on USD.

These four major currency pairs are the most liquid pairs in the forex markets. They involve the vast majority of the currency trading. You should think like this. Majors are the most heavily traded pairs and US Dollar is half of each major pair. So if you can understand what drives the USD, it will have a huge impact on your trading plans.

The only thing you need to determine is your bias for USD. What do you think; USD will weaken or strengthen in the near and medium term. Then apply that bias to the major currency pairs.

Just a small reminder, when you buy a currency pair, you are buying the first currency and selling the second currency in the pair. Suppose, your bias is that USD is going to strengthen. You can go long on USD/CHF and USD/JPY. You can go short on GBP/USD and EUR/USD.

One bias, four trades! But each currency pair will react differently to USD. For example, if Euro is also strengthening. The currency pair EUR/USD will move less with USD also strengthening as compared to USD/JPY if JPY is weakening.

Let’s say you can only afford to trade one standard lot. You have a bearish bias for USD. You can consider going long on either GBP/USD or EUR/USD. What pair you should trade? Which one!

Take a look at GBP and the Euro both at the same time. Find out which of the two currencies is stronger right now. You should trade the stronger currency. You can find that by taking a look at the cross EUR/GBP. If the EUR/GBP cross is down, it means EUR is weakening and GBP is getting stronger. You should trade GBP/USD!

You should always include an evaluation of the currency correlations for the major currency pairs in every trading plan that you create. The correlations between the currency pairs are dynamic and can change any time. So you need to calculate the correlations at least on weekly basis to give you a fair idea. Correlation is determined by what is known as the correlation coefficient. Correlation coefficient always ranges between +1 and -1.

Jun 26

Know the forex market. A standard deviation is the measure of the spread of a set of number. Bollinger Bands (BB) is calculated using the standard deviation. The higher the difference between the closing prices and the average price of a currency pair, the larger the standard deviation and the volatility of the currency pair will be. 95% of the recent closing prices are going to be within the two standard deviations of the currency pair price when the markets are ranging. In a range bound market, if the price pops above or below the Bollinger Bands, it does not belong there. It is an outlier.

Learn forex scalping.The formula used to calculate the Bollinger Bands (BB) is: Lower BB= 20 SMA-2(Standard Deviation) and Upper BB= 20SMA + 2(Standard Deviation. There are three different ways you can setup trades using Bollinger Bands.

Get good forex training.Range Trading: In a range bound market, these envelop lines or bands are parallel to each other. You can consider trading within the range identified by the Bollinger Bands. You can use the bands to enter or exit a trade.

The market is considered to be overbought when the price reaches the upper band. The market is considered to be oversold when the price touches the lower band. But you must understand that it in itself is not a trading signal when the price touches the upper band or the lower band.

You are seeking opportunities to profit not opportunities to trade! Do not predict a support or resistance level based solely on Bollinger Bands. Once the reversal pattern is confirmed by other indicators, you can place your stop loss on the other side of the Bollinger Band. Wait for the price to bounce first and seek confirmation from other indicators before you enter a trade.

Breakout Trading: It is an indication that a breakout and a new trend is about to develop when the price breaks above or below the upper or lower band. Seek confirmation by using a momentum indicator. You can use a 5 EMA cross or an 8 SMA cross or a stochastic cross. This will filter out a false breakout. Suppose the price breaks above the resistance on the upper band. Enter a long trade. On the other hand, suppose the price breaks on the downside on the support level. Enter a short trade.

Tunnel Trading: Expect a breakout to occur in the near future when you see the Bollinger Bands becoming tight and narrow. The greater the breakout will be the longer and narrower the Bollinger Bands are. Now pay attention! This is only true between the times 5 A.M to 5 P.M London Time.

When tunnels are created during the odd hours of currency trading, it simply shows that no one is trading at that time! Most of the traders are out and a breakout is not likely to happen until the traders return to their charts. This is also known as the, “Bollinger Band Squeeze.” The Bollinger Bands spread further apart and is an excellent indication to plan a trade. When a breakout happens, a new trend is started.

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